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But it is a global trend and almost all countries will be

Ageing populations and fewer workers strain pensions

A child born in 1960 canada goose could expect to live for 52 years. Today, the figure is 69 years. By the middle of the century, it is likely to be higher still, well over 70.

At the same time, people are having fewer children. In 1960, there were 33 births for every 1,000 people. The number has fallen to 20, and it is expected to decline canada goose black friday sale further as people in the developing world have Canada Goose Coats On Sale fewer children.

That, too, is arguably good news. It should lead to the global population stabilising, although at a substantially higher buy canada goose jacket level than it is now.

These are all global averages, and the picture varies between countries. Some countries have actually seen life expectancy fall in the last two decades because of the impact of HIV/AIDS. That has especially hit Southern Africa.

But the general pattern is one of longer lives and fewer children.

Bigger burdenDesirable though both trends are in themselves, they create a new problem. There are fewer people of working age for every older person.

In 1950, 8% of the population were over 60. Now it is 11% and by the middle of the century canada goose deals it will be 22%, canada goose replica according to canada goose clearance sale United Nations projections.

In some countries Japan, Macau and South Korea it will be over 40%.

So for those countries with well developed pension systems, there is a Canada Goose Outlet long canadian goose jacket term problem cheap Canada Goose from these population trends.

Many state pensions come from contributions made Canada Goose Jackets by current taxpayers it’s an arrangement called Pay as You Go. So on current policies, there will be fewer buy canada goose jacket cheap taxpayers to pay more pensions.

Private pensions are different, but some economists think a smaller working population will tend to depress the value of financial assets and that will in turn affect pensions.

Then there is the financial crisis. It has hit many people retiring in its aftermath, by reducing the value of the financial assets they use to 2018 Sale Canada Goose buy a pension.

And because interest rates are so low, the pension you can get for any given amount of Canada Goose Online savings has also fallen.

In the long term, it might be that developed economies are going to grow more slowly as a result of the crisis. If so, that would undermine the value of pension funds’ assets.

As for public provision, lower incomes and higher unemployment have affected contributions to state pensions.

Developing problemsThe story in developing countries is different. Fewer people have any kind of formal pension arrangement. In much of Africa, less than 5% of the current workforce are building up pension rights. In many Asian countries, including China salecanadagooseoutlets and India, it is between 5% and 25%.

In developing countries, provision for old canada goose clearance age is often informal and based on the family. That arrangement Canada Goose sale faces its own pressures from canada goose coats on sale population ageing.

A typical older person will have fewer children to rely on. That kind of support works better if families are close at hand. But canada goose coats those links, too, are undermined by younger people migrating from rural to urban areas in search of work.

There canada goose store are some important variations in how Canada Goose online countries are affected by these developments. But it is a global trend and almost all countries will be affected in one way or Canada Goose Parka another. The BBC is not responsible for the content of external sites. Read about our approach to external linking.